A Great Example of Recession Adaptation

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My old friend and rock climbing buddy Bart Berry in San Diego has become a successful consultant but found himself struggling as his clientele began cutting back a couple of years ago.  Finally as the recession got really rolling and a lot of people were starting to get hurt he got a great idea:  Put on a recession expo as a resource to help others who were struggling.
heretohelp.us
There will be a wide variety of resources there for people needing help with mortgage relief, food stamps, health care, short term financing, you name it.  There will be 150 exhibitors, goal setting and sales guru Brian Tracy will be a keynoter as will be yours truly.  

I think it's a great example of entrepreneurial thinking and adaptation.  If it works, it will expand to other cities.  Bart is getting some impressive corporate support as well.  It's becoming a grass roots community effort.

The lessons: 
1) If you're not sure what to do, find someone in pain and help them. 
2) If a lot of people have a problem, help them find a solution.  At the very least you will attract a great deal of favorable attention to yourself and PR is good.

Pretty basic stuff, but we get so stuck in our own ways of functioning, sometimes it takes an economic earthquake to shake us out of our narrow worldview and realize the scope of opportunities that are out there.

Bart's a make-it-happen guy.  It will be an interesting experience.  I'll keep you posted.  Meanwhile, take a look at his site.  http://www.heretohelp.us.

Recession: Prepare Now for the Next Upswing

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The signs are all around.  Benanke is predicting the recession ending later this year.  Many entrepreneurs I've spoken with tell me business is showing very early signs of movement.

If you've ever been surfing or body surfing, you learn one thing very quickly: those waves are coming in a lot faster than you can swim. There comes a point where you have to be paddling for all your worth so you have enough speed to catch the wave as it rises under you.  Once you're on the wave, the wave does all the work.  Once the wave rolls past you, you'll never catch it. 

So it is now with the economy.

We Can See the Wave Coming

The wave isn't here yet but we can see it coming.  Now is the time to start paddling so you be moving fast and harness the awesome power of economic expansion.

What does "paddling" look like?

How Has the Game Changed?

First it means carefully assessing how the game has changed in your industry and market.  If your business is heavily debt dependent, game over.  It will be a long time (hopefully) before we see the irresponsible easy money of the past twenty years.  If your business is energy intensive, we're experiencing a lull at the moment, but everyone I read says look for energy moving back up over the next year or two.

In almost every business to a greater or lesser extent, the tectonic plates of the market have shifted.  This is good news for forward thinking, adaptive companies who have rigorous planning processes in place. These are the companies that  have been using the recession to research, experiment, retool and train employees. The companies who think the good old days are just around the corner will be in for a rude awakening.

The good old days are gone.  The new days will be good too, but much more demanding.

Will You Miss the Wave?

Do you have a formal process improvement program in your company?  I speak to hundreds of CEOs every year and pose that question.  The affirmative response on average is probably five percent.  In this day and age, this is an appalling statistic.  If you and your employees are not proactively working to do whatever you do for a living faster, better and cheaper, you are missing the wave.

Technology

If you are not looking closely how technology will allow you to make your company easier to do business with, to provide your employees with the information they need to make decisions that will minimize cost and maximize customer satisfaction, you are missing the wave.

Marketing

If you are not learning to be a more effective, capable and aggressive marketer in an economy increasingly characterized by "kick-ass" marketers and companies who work for "kick-ass" marketers (guess who makes the money?), you're are missing the wave.

Education, Training & Orientation

If you are not training your people, teaching them how business actually works, how to read your financial statements, how to exercise good business judgment so you get full return on payroll, you are missing the wave. 

It is in recession that we really learn what we need to be doing.  Most important organizational changes take two to three years to fully implement.  The reality is that it is late already to take full advantage of the turnaround.  All the more reason to start paddling now.  

This is a very important subject because so many companies appear to be in reactive mode.

But I'll make it short.

The answer is yes, of course.  Strategic planning is about exercising the God-like ability with which human beings have been endowed for turning dreams into realities.  The starting point of strategic planning is vision: what do we want to create?  If that vision is to be compelling, it must be a human vision.  Business is about living.  Life is not about business.  Creating something worthwhile brings out the best in all of us, creates alignment and commitment on the part of the people involved.

It also transcends good times and bad times.

A lot of companies are having it rough right now.  But if you have a clear vision for your company, the times may change your timing, they may even change your strategy as opportunities open up and others close down, but there is rarely an reason why the times should change your vision.

If you follow the news and the investment reporters, the tea leaves are starting to portend an improvement in the economy.  Now, more than ever, it's time to get the strategic planning process pulled back together, regain clarity of vision and identify the strategic priorities that will be your touchstones come good times or bad.

If you're not sure how, call me.
Ah, recession...it fulfills my motto in life, "Not always fun, but never dull."

In some ways a recession can be defined as that period of time in which you find yourself wishing you had done three years ago the things that would be making a difference in what you're experiencing now.  Sadly, success hides a multitude of sins.  It is in the difficult times that we learn what really works and what doesn't, what we can really live without and what we can't.  Ultimately, we have to assess the structural changes that have taken place in our markets and adapt.  

The worst thing to do is hunker down and assume that if you wait long enough, things will return to the way they were.  Don't count on it.  If you have a business that is dependent on cheap, readily available credit, for example, don't hold your breath waiting for the days of easy credit to return.  Probably not in your lifetime.

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The good news is that a recession is like gravity.  It pulls everyone down equally.  The question is what you do with it.  The little illustrations show what I mean.

Our little alien finds him (her?) self drawn inexorably into the sun with the inevitable result being toast.  Not a good strategy.  But, our little alien, being a good astrophysicist, knows that gravity can work for you as well as against you.  It's all a matter of trajectory.
slingshot2sm.gif

With a small course correction, our alien friend has used the power of gravity to slingshot back into space at even greater velocity.  Clever alien.

Can we be that clever?  How can you use the pressures that are arising from the shifting tectonic plates of the economy?

I'm not suggesting there are easy answers.  People are cutting back, in many cases out of necessity, in some cases out of fear or just being conservative until things level out.  In either case, the world a year or two from now will look different from how the world looked a year or two ago.

What to do?

The business equation is pretty simple.  Money in, money out.  More money in, less money out.  That suggests that we should be focusing on two things right now: marketing and process improvement.  As I pointed out in a previous post (Saving Your Way to Oblivion), there is a limit to what you can do with traditional cost cutting.  Process improvement, on the other hand, can have a significant impact on cost.  The only problem with it is that it can free up a lot of production capacity, which requires more revenue to support.  (Kind of hard to ask your employees to learn a bunch of new ways of working so they can work themselves out of a job.)  On the other hand, as your costs come down, you've got more margin to play with in the marketplace which you can use to bring in more business.

Let's start with marketing.  Most smaller companies tend to be relatively sales driven.  Nothing intrinsically wrong with that, but one of the symptoms of a sales-driven culture is the customer base tends to be very diverse.  What that typically means is that the company is a peripheral player to most of its customers.  From a marketing perspective this is a low margin and strategically precarious position.  Again, from a marketing point of view, narrow and deep will out perform broad and shallow every time.

What does narrow and deep mean?  It means that you have focused your limited resources on a narrow market niche and figured out how to become very important to a relatively small number of customers.  Particularly is you can develop several niches like this, you have the benefit of concentration for each niche and the benefit of diversification as a company in the event one of your niches collapses, which they do from time to time due to no fault of yours.

This starts with segmenting your market and assessing where is business going to be getting done over the next year or two given the current state of the economy.  How can you start building relationships in that market?  How can you tune your products and services to meet that market's needs?  How can you position yourself as a desirable vendor?  If you haven't read my post, Climbing the Food Chain for Fun & Profit, this would be a good time to do so.

So firing a bunch of customers who nickel and dime you to death will free up bandwidth to pursue better customers and use your creativity to find ways to bring more value to them.  If you sell through distribution, this would be a good time to start learning how to sell direct.  Your distributors and/or retailers won't like it, but almost everyone else is doing it, so they don't have a lot of leverage.   

If you don't know much about marketing, this would be a good time to get your education going.  If you know some things about marketing but don't have any experience with direct response marketing, this would be a good time to start.  If you are not making aggressive use of the web, this would be a good time to start learning about that.  Web marketing is more complex than it used to be but is well worth the investment of time.

On the cost side of the house, when I speak to groups of CEOs, and I speak to hundreds of CEOs every year, less than ten percent have any kind of formal process improvement programs going on.  This is a pretty appalling statistic, but it means opportunity for those who get to work on it.

Again, this is not a quick fix.  You will get lots of resistance from your employees.  You'll have lots to learn and lots to teach.  But once you start getting traction the effort will pay dividends forever.  There is a huge literature on the subject now, but if you haven't read the classics like Deming's Out of the Crisis, or Philip Crosby's Quality is Free, these would be good places to start.  

"Lean" is the latest flavor of the quality disciplines and well worth exploring.  There is a government funded organization called Manufacturing Extension Partnership (MEP).  Look on the web to see if they have an office in your community.  They offer a one day class in Lean which is an eye-opener.  They also offer low cost consulting to help you drive cost out of your organization using Lean principles.

As I said at the beginning, a recession is that time where you find yourself wishing you done some things three years ago.  Better late than never.  We all have to adapt to survive.  The hardest part is letting go of the known.  How ironic is it that the act of letting go which should be so easy is so damn hard.  But nothing like a good recession to provide the motivation.

Corporate Death Penalty

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At various times in my life I have vacillated on the moral dimension of the death penalty and finally came down on the side of approving of it.  There are some human beings who have committed acts which should cost them the right to exist.  I suspect most business leaders feel similarly.  However, I would doubt most business leaders would support a corporate death penalty.

A corporation is legally an entity like a person.  It exists, it pays taxes or passes profits through to individuals.  But underlying this fiction is the fact that a corporation's behavior is the result of the behavior of it's employees.  Therein lies the conundrum.  Part of a corporation's function is to shield the decision makers and shareholders from liability.  But, if a corporation's decision makers through negligence, greed or intent responsible for the deaths of others, why should the corporation itself not suffer the same consequences as someone who shoots and kills a convenience store clerk during a holdup?  

 What might that look like?  A good example is the Bhopal disaster.  In 1984 the plant co-owned by Union Carbide and the government of India released 42 tons of toxic gas.  This directly or indirectly led to the deaths of an estimated 16,000 people.  

Why should a corporation (and the in-depth study of the incident showed clear negligence on the part of Union Carbide among others -- see the wikipedia article for more information) be allowed to continue to exist?  Why should the corporation itself not be tried for murder and if found guilty put to death?  Putting a corporation to death would be the equivalent of a forced chapter 7 liquidation.  

Who would suffer?  The shareholders, who would virtually always include the decision-makers.  For many large public companies, a sizable portion of the shareholders are pension plans, so a lot of people stand to suffer if a major company was liquidated.  Do you suppose this might have some impact on who the shareholders elected to the board and the level of oversight the board exercised?  I expect it would.

We're not talking about something like a civil matter which a company or individual can indemnify itself.  It would be a criminal equivalent.  You can't buy insurance to protect you if you murder someone.  You can buy insurance if someone is killed on your property and sues you.  Why should corporations not suffer the consequences of the actions of it's leaders?

You could make the point that most of the shareholders would be innocent victims of such an action.  I disagree.  A recent assessment in the news of the Madhoff fiasco suggested that his customers didn't care how he was doing things as long as he kept paying their big returns.  I think most shareholders are the same.  As long as the company is making money, the stock is going up and the dividends keep coming, shareholders aren't going to look too closely at how the company is run.  But if they knew their capital was at risk of liquidation they would elect directors who would pay very close attention.

What brought all this to mind was an interview I heard on NPR the other night about a trial which is going on right now in Montana.  WR Grace operated a vermiculite mine there for decades which blanketed the town with asbestos fibers.  Workers brought the stuff home on their clothes and exposed their wives and children, the town, downwind of the mine was completely contaminated.  Hundreds of men, women and children have died from asbestos related diseases.  The company insists that the epidemic has nothing to do with asbestos and that they are not responsible.  The case has taken ten years to come to trial, and five executives are on trial for very narrow violations of environmental rules.  (By the way, the EPA has spent hundreds of millions in an effort to clean up the town.)

Here is a perfect example of a company that should be on trial for it's life.  Why shouldn't this be a murder trial?  Not necessarily for the executives (although I'm not sure they shouldn't be on trial for their lives), but for the company itself.  If proven without a reasonable doubt to be responsible for the deaths of hundreds, the company should be put to death.  Its resources should be redeployed to owners more responsible and ethical.  The shareholders would receive whatever value was generated from the sale of the companies assets after its debts were paid.

The bottom line is this.  

I don't believe the executives at Union Carbide, Grace, Enron, Worldcom or Exxon for that matter sprang from the womb committed to becoming master criminals.  But the ecosystem in which they worked caused them to behave in criminally negligent ways.  To a much lesser degree we see this in every company.  People behave in ways that are self-protective in their micro-ecology but that might be highly harmful to the system as a whole.  If we want people to behave differently, there have to be feedback mechanisms to create that desired behavior. Would a senior executive who has earned thousands of shares of company stock be inclined to stress fiscal, environmental, and safety responsibility more if his or her equity was at risk in ways that could not be indemnified?  I think so.

Would there be unintended consequences of such an action?  No doubt.  Trial lawyers would lick their chops at such an idea.  But I think the idea should be studied and as much as possible the consequences could be anticipated.  And if companies felt the risks of manufacturing highly toxic materials was too great, that might not be such a bad thing and might lead to some real creativity in discovering ways to get things done in more environmentally friendly ways.

If we create (which we have) a system in which there are no serious consequences for actions, then unpleasant actions will be taken.  Or as one of my former clients used to say, "Lead us not into temptation...because we will fail."

Emotional Safety

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In a meeting the other day at a client's office, we were discussing collaboration and what happens when the collaborative dynamic breaks down.  People get defensive, offensive and confrontational which makes things very unsafe.  This particular client is in the construction industry and has a full time safety manager, safety coordinators on every job site and a world-class safety record.  In the construction industry, safety has become a major strategic focus in the last 20 years and huge gains have been made in insuring worker safety.  

But it struck me as interesting the emotional safety is not a part of the safety definition or dialogue.  

I'm not picking on them specifically, because this is true of most organizations.  In Deming's 14 principles for Total Quality Management, eliminating fear from the workplace is one of the most important.  While the cost of low emotional safety is difficult to quantify, everyone has had the experience of how disruptive an emotional encounter is to productivity.  

One could make the case that human beings disagree at times and that we can't be expected to walk on egg shells all the time around each other.  True enough.  But I think in the spirit of continuous improvement, it behooves us to think about emotional safety and the costs of fear in the workplace.  I believe they are significant.  

The challenge is creating an ecosystem where the pursuit of emotional safety does not produce the unintended consequence of burying issues and driving disagreements underground where they fester and create resentment.  

But like any other process improvement, it begins with defining the desired reality, studying the current reality and creating a plan to close the gap.

In the final analysis, safety is safety.  Ask any psychologist if emotional wounds are any less debilitating to a person's ability to function and be productive than physical disabilities.  In the workplace, we can't do much about the scars our employees bring with them when they come, but we certainly can be sure that we don't add to the damage.

How to Read (Once You've Graduated)

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Graduation from high school, college and/or grad school is for many of us a dim memory.  But whether graduation is a recent or ancient experience, it's important to recognize that in an important way, the education system has let us down.

They didn't teach us how to read.

Oh, they taught us how to make sense of words on a page and they taught us how to read for school, but they didn't teach us how to read once we'd graduated.  I'm not talking so much about fiction.  Reading fiction is like watching TV.  When you read Tom Clancy or watch TV you have no expectation that you're going to have to write a five page essay on the Freudian implications of David Hasselhoff's relationships with the lifeguards on Bay Watch.  I'm talking about non-fiction, and for most of you, specifically about books relevant to business.

Admit it.  You have a pile of business books somewhere in your life, on your nightstand, your credenza or a corner of your desk.  Gathering dust.  Stick with me here and we're going to solve that problem once and for all.

What's the difference between reading in school and reading after we've graduated?  It's simple.  

In school we read essentially for one reason: to pass a test.  From a designer's point of view, form follows function.  Since as students, the function of reading was to pass a test, we had to design the form or strategy of reading suitable for that function.  Thus the invention of the yellow highlighter, the notebook, strong coffee and other accouterments of many a late night study session.

There was nothing intrinsically wrong with any of that other than the fact that the act of reading became for many people so painful and distasteful that once they graduated, they never wanted to open another book, ever (and haven't).

But once we graduate, we're officially grownups and expected to make our way in the world.  Being a grownup has both it's pleasures and burdens, but there is one thing we don't have to deal with as grownups: no tests!

When was the last time you took a test?  Outside of some formal educational process, probably when you got your drivers license.

So, if we live in a world with no tests, then the strategy of reading we learned in school (specifically to successfully take tests) probably isn't very germane.  What then is the function of reading for adult learners?

To enrich our worldview.

By that I mean how we conceptualize and understand what's going on around us and what we need to know about in economics, politics, business, education, real estate, the job market, spirituality, child rearing, health, relationships, entertainment.  In short, all of the things that adults need to know about in order to have healthy, productive lives, participate in their communities and raise successful families.  

But there are no tests.

Being force fed facts and ideas (education) and enriching our worldview are very different processes.  A useful way to think of your worldview is as a giant jigsaw puzzle.  Only there is no box, so you don't know what the final product is supposed to look like.  Like any jigsaw puzzle that's in progress, parts of the puzzle are fairly complete, others are empty.  There are places on the table where there are a miscellaneous pieces and small subassemblies lying about that we haven't quite figured out where they fit in the larger scheme of things.  Some areas are almost complete but there are holes where we are still missing a few isolated pieces.

With this concept in mind, then let's think about what reading strategy would be appropriate to fulfill the function of enriching our worldview?

I propose the following.  Think of reading as a treasure hunt.  You are scanning through the piles of loose pieces looking for that "ah ha!" moment of recognition when you find a piece that fits precisely in some area of the puzzle and then that area is clearer and more complete.  Reading in this context then becomes a search for those nuggets if information that produce that "ah ha!" response.  

Three concepts are important to understand to be a successful treasure hunter when you have a book in your hand:

  1. You are a customer and the author is a vendor.  In your business, you would have no qualms about releasing a vendor who no longer added value to your business.  Nor should you have any such qualms about an author who is not delivering value to you.  It is the author's responsibility to give you something of value, not your responsibility to plow through a bunch of stuff that is meaningless to you.  This propensity we have to feel like we have to start at the beginning and end at the end is an artifact of our educational reading strategy.  Let it go.

  2. By the way, any lack of relevance to you may not be the author's fault.  The book may be packed with nuggets, they may just not be nuggets for you.  More on this in a minute.

  3. Recognize that the nuggets you seek may be anywhere.  They may be in the table of contents, they may be in the first chapter, they may be in the epilogue.  They may be in the promotional copy on the back cover or may even be in the title of the book.  At a conference where I was speaking one time, someone came up to me and asked if I had read Mass Customization.  Bing!  There was the nugget, right there in the title.  Brilliant.  Did I run out and buy the book?  Heck no.  I already got the nugget.  I didn't need to read the book.  Now if I was running a manufacturing company, I probably would have bought the book to understand the concept better and how to implement it.  But for my purposes, I got the nugget.  

    So obviously, the process is to scan.  If you were a gold miner, you know you have to move tons of dirt for every nugget of gold.  You don't go through every gram of dirt with a microscope.  You move a lot of dirt fast to get at the stuff that matters.  Likewise with reading.  Scan the table of contents.  Scan the chapters that look interesting.  If there is anything of value there your attention will naturally be drawn in.  If you find your attention drifting, then start flipping pages.  Your attention is drifting because there is no value there for you.

  4. What determines what is a nugget and what is dirt is how your perceptual filters are set.  What that means is that at any point in time in your life, there are things that are top of mind.  It might be the health of your marriage, it might be your mortality, it might by process improvement in your business, it might be how to deal with unruly teenagers, whatever.  Whatever is at the top of your personal mental and/or emotional in-basket will shape what looks like a nugget to you.  To go back to our jigsaw puzzle analogy, it's whatever corner of the puzzle you happen to be working on.  If you're trying to figure out how to complete the flower pot in the corner, as you scan the loose puzzle pieces, you're not looking for pieces that come from the sky or the buildings, you're looking for that distinctively red color that says, "flower pot".  

    So it is with reading.  Your perceptual filters are constantly changing.  This is why you should never throw or give a book away.  If you have skimmed through it and gotten the nuggets that are there for you (and by the way, most business books  only have one or two), if you come back to it six months, a year, or two years later and have another look, it is pretty likely that new nuggets will show up.  You didn't see them the first time because your perceptual filters weren't set to recognize them as nuggets.

With these three concepts in mind, you will find reading becomes a whole new experience.

But now I'm going to give you a gift that will change your life.

Somewhere back in the third grade, Mrs. [enter the name of your third grade teacher here] made it clear to you that unless you started at the beginning and read through to the end, you couldn't say that you've read the book.  Think about it.  You're having lunch with a colleague and he/she says, "I've been reading The Fourteen Secrets That Eskimos Know That Will Transform Your Business Overnight.  Have you read it?"  Instantly, your mind sees the book sitting on your nightstand.  You had gotten as far as the first sentence of chapter two before your eyes drifted closed and your spouse suggested you might want to turn off the light and lie down if you're going to go to sleep.  "I've started it," you reply guiltily.

So here's my gift.  In the scenario I just described, if you have a book and you've scanned through it at any level, gotten a nugget or maybe realized there are no nuggets there for you (at this point in time - which is not all that uncommon, by the way) then you have my permission to say, "Sure, I read that."  

You're a grownup now.  What Mrs. [enter the name of your third grade teacher here] said doesn't matter any more.

I buy a lot of business related books.  I rarely read one cover to cover.  Sadly, the thesis of most business books could have been delivered in an article but have been padded out with fluff so that they take up a credible amount of space on the bookshelf at Barnes and Noble.

Life is moving really fast.  Intellectual capital is depreciating faster than ever.  Your experience is increasingly becoming as much a liability as an asset.  Continuously enriching your worldview is becoming more important than ever.  Books are an important vehicle for that.  The articles you read in the newspaper and your trade and business magazines are too, but a book is a larger canvas on which the author can explore an issue in much more depth than in any other format.  You need to buying and reading books.  

The richness of your worldview will determine the scope of your strategic vision and will impact every dimension of your life.  Embrace the principles I've described and reading will become a joy again, as it was when as children we discovered the magic that these symbols on the page revealed.

They May be Ignorant but They're Not Stupid

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Did you ever see The Coal Miner's Daughter with Sissy Spacek and Tommy Lee Jones?  It's about the life of Loretta Lynn, the great country singer.  At one point early in Loretta's career, Tommy Lee (playing her husband) calls her "stupid".  She turns on him quick as a flash, spits in his eye and says, "I may be ignorant, but I ain't stupid!"

Think about our employees for a minute.  They are unbelievably ignorant.  In fact it's a wonder we can get anything done in business.  

I can hear your hackles rising but I'll prove my point.

If I were to walk into virtually any company in the country, grab anyone at random and pose the following two very basic business questions, what's the probability I'd get the correct answer to both?  Here are the questions:

  • Tell me the difference between profit and cash.
  • Tell me the difference between sales and marketing.
OK, what's the probability?  Correct...virtually zero.

This level of ignorance is the result of the culture of traditional business practice where employees check their brains at the door and do what they are told.  In one of his writings a hundred years or so ago, Frederick Winslow Taylor, the godfather of management wrote, 

"Under our system a worker is told just what he is to do and how he is to do it.  Any improvement on the orders given to him is fatal to his success."
You get the picture.  This is the legacy of traditional management.  And with an army of employees who are clueless about what business is, how it works and how they can make it work better, of course we have to have an army of managers aiming them at what appears to be useful activities.

It's nuts when you think about it.

But then there's the whole ROI question.  There has been a lot of research on ROI for training.  It's proven hard to pin down.  The costs are very visible though which makes them easy targets.  (See my blog post, Saving Your Way to Oblivion).  

I propose that the measure is wrong.  I propose that we should start measuring ROP, return on payroll.  Face it.  If someone came to you with a business proposition that required an investment equivalent to one year's payroll for your company, you would leave no stone unturned before you signed that check (particularly if your spouse found out you were going to take out a second mortgage on the house to do it).  Yet year after year you sign those payroll checks without anything like the due diligence you would apply to an investment.  

Odd, isn't it?

Actually it's not odd at all.  That's because payroll shows up on the income statement and not the balance sheet.  Under traditional accounting standards, payroll is an expense, a necessary evil to fulfill the obligations that come with making sales.  So of course we never think of return on payroll, because return is something you apply to assets not expenses.  But if our people are not the assets with which we ultimately deliver products and services, what are they?

Is your paradigm shifting?  I hope so.  

The good news is your people may be ignorant but they're not stupid.  They are masters of local optimization.  They can very accurately read their local situation and behave in ways to minimize risk and negative consequences to themselves.  The problem is that local optimization often produces behavior that is deeply spurious and non-optimal for the system as a whole.

An example I experienced recently: A client of mine has a large number of trucks they use to move equipment from one job site to the next.  Federal law requires that commercial truck drivers, like airline pilots, can only work so many hours before they have to rest a prescribed number of hours.  My client's drivers were ignoring those laws.  The CEO was incensed at the reckless lack of integrity of his employees.  As CEO, he was naturally looking at the situation from a "what will support/threaten the whole system" point of view.  But when we looked at the ecosystem the drivers live in, we saw something very different:

  1. If i don't get caught by the highway patrol, it never happened.  There are no consequences.
  2. If the equipment isn't where it's supposed to be when it's supposed to be there, there are very real, immediate and negative consequences.
The drivers, being ignorant, didn't realize that if they got into an accident when they were out of compliance and someone got killed, the company is toast.  But the drivers, not being stupid, knew very well where their bread was buttered and who they needed to keep happy: the site managers.

Can employees really grasp globally optimized behavior.  Sure.  It just takes education:

"transfer of knowledge that enriches and broadens the learner's horizons and worldview, facilitates systemic and critical thinking and exposes him/her to the fundamentals of business processes."
and training:

"the acquisition of specific technical and behavioral skills."
They may be ignorant, but they are not stupid.  It doesn't take an MBA to figure out that quality products and services delivered on time at competitive prices and comfortable profit margins equates to job security.  There is no other job security.

Our failure to educate our employees is an artifact of traditional management practice.  It was good practice a hundred years ago for their time and their reality.  But it's bad practice for our time and our reality.  It's not an easy investment to make because of Goodman's Law (When the cost of something is easy to quantify but the benefit is not easy to quantify, it is likely to be eliminated).  The costs are easy to quantify, the benefits are hard to quantify.  What it takes is understanding the value of creating a culture in which all employees have the ability to see and understand how to globally optimize behavior and to know that that behavior will be supported.  It takes some vision and it takes courage and most importantly it takes years.

Our employees have spent their whole working lives waiting for someone to tell them what to do.  Any curiosity about or suggestions on how to optimize the company globally often has brought a harsh response to do their job and keep their nose out of other people's business.  Don't think for a minute that this history will be quick or easy to overwrite.  But it can be done.  It must be done if we are to build businesses that will be competitive in the 21st century.

For those of you who have invested in ERP systems, what ERP gives you for the first time in business history is the ability of all employees to make local decisions that are globally optimized.  However, just because you made the horrendous investment of money, time, training and disruption to put in ERP doesn't mean your employees will change their behavior.  I suspect very few companies really understand what ERP is really for.  Having the global information isn't enough.  Your employees have to know how to interpret the information and how to respond appropriately.

My high school physics teacher endeared himself to me forever when he announced at the beginning of the year that all the formulas we needed would be provided on all the test sheets.  His point was any moron could go look up a formula in the CRC handbook.  He was only interested in knowing that we knew what to do with the formula in order to solve the problem on the test.  That meant we'd been educated.

You can make the information available to your employees through ERP, but if they don't understand it that the globally optimized response that may be completely counter-intuitive (e.g. it is more cost effective for a production team to stand down for half a day than to create more work in process that is just going to pile up somewhere and unnecessarily take up space and tie up capital) will be supported, they won't change their behavior.  This takes education and training all up and down the organization.

ERP without ROP means lousy ROI and then as CEO you're SOL.  Sorry...it's late.

May 2009 be a breakout year for you.  When the tectonic plates of the marketplace are shifting, new opportunities abound.  Jettison what is no longer working and start running experiments.  And start growing your people.  It will pay dividends forever.  

Peace.


The Leadership Window

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I was preparing for a speech recently thinking about how powerful inertia must be in virtually every business.  What besides inertia could explain why so many companies are so far behind the power curve in so many dimensions of their businesses?  For example, I speak to hundreds of CEOs every year and I always ask, "Who has a formal process improvement program in your company?"  On average I'd say less than 10% of the hands go up.  Often no hands go up.

I find this astonishing.

How can it be with the literature, publicity, the experience of getting our collective asses kicked by the Japanese, the Chinese, the Koreans and Germans who have taken huge bites out of our consumer electronics, small appliance, auto and manufacturing sectors.  They have not done this on cheaper labor alone.  Cheap labor has helped, but the difference has been that their quality got better faster than our quality got better.  This clearly wasn't an accident.

I remember when "made in Japan" was the equivalent of shoddy and cheap.  This is not an easy reputation to overcome.  But overcome it they did in a big way.  They did it through a national commitment to process improvement.  How ironic that the highest award for manufacturing quality in Japan is the Deming award.

I see this phenomenon showing up in many ways in companies in all kinds of industries.  I can only ascribe this myopia to the failure of CEOs to be looking over the horizon and paying attention to emerging trends and having the processes in place to institutionalize adoption of new ways of doing things.  The irony is that when we fail to do this, we find ourselves playing catch-up with our competitors and this then becomes an excuse for not having the bandwidth to be looking over the horizon.

At any rate, in preparation for this speech, I conjured up the chart below, which I think illustrates the importance of paying attention to what's emerging in business.  Let me walk you through it.

leadership-window.gif
The green line shows that new technologies are disruptive by nature in that they change the game in some way.  By technology I'm not necessarily talking about information technology.  Process improvement, building self-managing companies, and unions are or were disruptive technologies.  Email, the Web 1.0 and 2.0 are more obvious examples.  But new disruptive technologies become mainstream technologies over time, and the curve typically has a long tail, as does the adoption curve.

The adoption curve (the blue line) is familiar to most people.  Innovators are the enthusiasts and geeks who hunger for the newest and coolest.  They understand that what they are playing with is still evolving and typically isn't ready for prime time.  The fact that bleeding edge technologies aren't debugged or developed enough to satisfy most business customers means that they are rarely breakout strategies for companies.

But when you superimpose these two curves, what becomes apparent is that there is a finite window in which a company can claim and demonstrate leadership in it's market or industry.  There comes a point where adoption of a technology no longer is a differentiator.  It's a "me too" strategy.

This analysis raises an important question, "Why does leadership matter?"  Is leadership really that important in this day and age?

I would argue that it is more important than ever.  

Where does our job security come from?  It comes from becoming important to your customers.  If we realize that customers as a rule don't innovate (who woke up one morning demanding that someone invent a Xerox machine?), then it is incumbent on vendors to push their customers.  Obviously there is some art involved in accomplishing this, but as customers assimilate new ideas, processes, services and products their vendors have pushed them into and begin to experience the benefits these innovations bring, they increasingly depend on those vendors who are bringing un-asked for benefits to the party.

Right now we find ourselves in a pretty serious crunch time.  Which vendors are going to suffer the most?  The ones who are least important, which is to say bring the least added value to the customer.  These are the "commodity" vendors, where one looks pretty much like all the others.  The last ones standing will be the ones the customers don't want to lose...the ones that are most important to them.

So leadership translates very directly into job security.

Understand that adopting new ways of doing things may be invisible to your customer, but by doing things internally faster, better and cheaper, your margins are likely to improve dramatically and you may find yourselves able to compete for business you couldn't have aspired to before.

It should be apparent that creating a culture of leadership requires several things:

  1. A CEO who has created the bandwidth in and an interest in ideas, tools, techniques and technologies that are percolating out in the world.

  2. A company culture that has processes for evaluating and institutionalizing those new ways of doing things that employees deem mature enough, of importance to their future and of benefit to their customers.
If you were to project this graphic up on the screen at your office (you do have a data projector permanently mounted in your conference room, don't you?) and get your team together and apply it to every dimension of your business you can collectively think of, I suspect the list would be interesting.  

At the very least, it would precipitate a conversation on the value of leadership which would be an illuminating window into the attitudes and beliefs of your team members. If you prioritized those areas where you were clearly not in a leadership position in your market or industry but want/need to be, you would have important strategic initiatives to work on for some time to come.

Leadership is a choice.  Ultimately, we choose to be leaders just because we choose to be leaders.  From my point of view, leadership is its own reward, financially, professionally, emotionally, intellectually, relationally.  This is because generally leadership pays better and draws to you people who are driven to become.  These are the people who will help free up bandwidth for you to lead and in turn, will be the next generation of leaders for your firm.

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Happy holidays to all.  May 2009 show us a world where people find more rational ways of creating common ground and resolving their differences, geopolitical, economic, ethnic, religious, whatever.  Will it take environmental catastrophe to pull us all together in the realization that we sink or swim together as a species?  May we find more enlightened ways of living before we are driven to such extremes.  In the meantime, may peace and harmony fill the days and nights for you and your families.

Saving Your Way to Oblivion

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In this time of intense cost consciousness, an important caveat seems in order.

I'd like to propose a law which I have modestly named Goodman's Law which states: 

When the cost of something is easy to quantify but the benefit is not easy to quantify, it is likely to be eliminated.
There are many examples.  A good one I heard recently was the elimination of a construction coordination office at a company that spends billions a year in construction.  This office was composed of senior construction experts who managed all phases of the company's relationship with their contractors.  The cost was significant and highly quantifiable (salaries, benefits, office expense, travel etc.).  The benefit was more difficult to measure. 

Sure enough, at the first sign of contraction, the office was shut down.  The knowledgeable executives were let go and the project managers were left to fend for themselves.  The result: difficult to quantify also, but the evidence suggests costs for construction problems and delays probably far outstripped the cost of the original office.  Can those costs be readily quantified?  No.  Can they be directly attributed to the loss of the office?  Also no.  Does that mean the costs aren't real or that there isn't a correlation?  Definitely no.

Training is another easy target.  Definable costs, difficult to define benefits.  It's worth remembering W. Edwards Deming's admonition from Out of the Crisis:

"The most important numbers in a business are unknown and unknowable."
Of course, when things get difficult you have to carefully scrutinize quantitative costs of everything.  But you also have to very carefully scrutinize the qualitative costs of eliminating programs, processes and people who may be delivering enormous value that is difficult to measure but which would be sorely missed when it was gone.

I hope if nothing else comes out of this downturn, it will be a renewed commitment on the part of all business people to institute a formal process improvement program that will prepare them for the next downturn.  As I've said many times, tough times don't last, but then neither do good times.  The investments you make in training your people and eliminating waste can be lifesavers when business slows down.
Lanny Goodman, CEO
Management
Technologies Inc.

414 1/2 Central Ave SE
Suite 4
Albuquerque NM 87102
(505) 884-7300

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